179 Paleontology I - Macroevolution, Diversity, and Biogeography

Monday, 6 October 2008
8:00 AM - 12:00 PM


The Evolution and Distribution of Species Body Size

Paper number: 179-5
Program: Technical Sessions
Time: 9:00 AM – 9:15 AM


Authors

  • Aaron Clauset Presenting Author
    Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM
  • Douglas Erwin
    National Museum of Natural History Dept of Paleobiology, MRC-121, Washington, DC

Abstract

The distribution of species body size within taxonomic groups exhibits a heavy right-tail extending many orders of magnitude, with most species being significantly larger than the smallest species. We present a simple model of cladogenetic diffusion over evolutionary time that omits explicit mechanisms for inter-specific competition and other microevolutionary processes yet fully explains the shape of this distribution. We estimate the model's parameters from fossil data on terrestrial mammals since the K/T boundary and find that it robustly reproduces the distribution of 4002 mammal species from the late Quarternary. The observed fit suggests that the asymmetric distribution arises from a fundamental tradeoff between the short-term selective advantages (Cope's rule) and long-term selective risks of increased species body size, in the presence of a taxon-specific lower limit on body size.