T197 Understanding Risk and Communicating Uncertainty to the Public
Tuesday, 6 November 2012
1:30 PM - 5:30 PM
208B
PRESENTING SCIENCE TO THE DOUBTFUL: STRATEGIES AND CAVEATS
Paper number: T197-12
Program: Technical Sessions
Time: 4:15 PM – 4:30 PM
Authors
Abstract
In doing so, there are some caveats to consider. Scientific literacy and levels of education do not predict attitudes related to specific science controversies (e.g., attitudes about climate change) (Allum et al. 2008; Gauchat 2010). Social factors such as income, religiosity, social capital, and political identifications are at least as important as knowledge and education in predicting trust in science (Gauchat 2008, 2010; Sturgis and Allum 2004; Yearly 2005). Multiple studies also indicate that humans are inherently conservative, and prefer stories from people we trust over data from an unfamiliar source. Once we begin to believe something, (or don’t, due to Heuristical approaches) we unconsciously seek information to reinforce that belief. Our biases may become so strong that contrary information reinforces our mistaken belief, and often elicits an emotional response. Hence, simply presenting stunningly accurate, precise, and elegant data seldom persuades the 60+ percent of Americans who are dubious of climate shifts—and often of other aspects of science as well.
Remedies are challenging. They should start with the difficult task of building trust. But more importantly, data from experimental psychology demonstrate that communicating through simply-told stories, in environments that do not require immediate action or decisions, and include concrete examples of climate and other scenarios is important. Offering a positive vision, or alternative, is also critical to engaging more of the public--who are often simultaneously climate doubters and science enthusiasts--in grasping critical principals. Examples include success in climate change persuasion, and other fields.