T261 Geochemistry of Urban Environments
Wednesday, 7 November 2012
1:30 PM - 5:30 PM
202AB
SOIL LEAD RISK ASSESSMENT IN URBAN GARDEN PLOTS
Paper number: T261-11
Program: Technical Sessions
Time: 4:00 PM – 4:15 PM
Authors
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Lawrence D. LemkeWayne State University, Detroit, MI
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Shawn P. McElmurryWayne State University, Detroit, MI
Abstract
Results of this analysis demonstrate that the goal of the soil lead sampling campaign affects risk assessment outcomes for reclaimed residential sites. In the first instance, if the objective is to determine a representative soil lead concentration for the entire site, increasing the number of individual samples taken improves the ability to estimate mean concentrations and the practice of compositing samples decreases the probability of a false positive (Type I error). Conversely, if the objective is to detect and possibly delineate hot-spots, increasing the number of individual samples increases the chance of hotspot detection, but compositing samples increases the probability of overlooking hotspots (Type II error). Current USEPA recommendations allow as few as two composite samples to estimate the average soil lead concentration on a standard sized residential lot. In sites where soil lead concentrations are nonuniform or hot spots are present, however, our results suggest that two composite samples may not be enough to characterize soil lead variability or fully assess the associated risks.