T18 Case Studies in the History & Philosophy of the Geosciences: People, Places, & Things
Sunday, 9 October 2022
8:00 AM - 12:00 PM
407
CATASTROPHIC FLOODING: A CASE STUDY IN THE VALUE OF OUTRAGEOUS GEOLOGICAL HYPOTHESES
Paper number: T18-2
Program: Technical Sessions
Time: 8:05 AM – 8:20 AM
Authors
Abstract
Shortly after Bretz’s discovery, in 1925 William Morris Davis (1850-1934) presented an address at Univ. California on “The Value of Outrageous Geological Hypotheses” advocating, as a cure for “theoretical stagnation,” that, “violence must be done to many of our accepted principles.” In the published version of that talk (Science, v. 63, no. 1636, p. 463-468, 1928) Davis states that an outrageous hypothesis for some geological behavior serves as a stimulus to geological thinking by encouraging, “contemplation deliberate enough to seek out just what conditions would make the outrage seem permissible and reasonable, ” while also, “encouraging the contemplation of other possible behaviors.”
It took decades of controversy before the Bretz hypothesis finally prevailed against its critics. What followed over the past 50 years was the discovery and documentation of ancient cataclysmic megaflood landscapes throughout the world and even multi-billion-year-old evidence of megaflooding on Mars. Discoveries made through megaflood studies were applied to rare, high-magnitude Holocene and Anthropocene flood phenomena, resulting in a new science that was named “paleoflood hydrology.” Combining geological modes of inference with conventional engineering methods of flood analysis, paleoflood hydrology extrapolates from geological evidence of extreme, rare floods to estimate the risk for the more common floods that pose maximum hazard to humans and their works.
Geological Society of America Abstracts with Programs. Vol. 54, No. 6
doi: 10.1130/abs/2022AM-380498
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