T95 Harmony and Discord: Exploring the Interplay of Climate and Tectonics in Central Asia

Monday, 23 September 2024
8:00 AM - 12:00 PM
304A

CROSS-EURASIAN MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND CENOZOIC HYDROCLIMATE IN CENTRAL ASIA

Paper number: T95-1
Program: Technical Sessions
Time: 8:00 AM – 8:20 AM

Authors

Abstract

For much of the Cenozoic, Central Asia has received much of its moisture from the mid-latitude westerlies, which transport moisture across the Eurasian continent. Reconstructions of climate-tectonic interactions in Central Asia thus require knowledge of the cross-Eurasian moisture flux during prior greenhouse epochs. However, the response of the terrestrial hydrologic cycle to higher atmospheric CO2 remains poorly constrained. To interrogate how the terrestrial hydrologic cycle may change with warming and higher CO2, we utilize the Cenozoic geologic record of terrestrial stable oxygen isotopes (δ18O) as recorded in authigenic minerals, which reflect precipitation δ18O (δ18Op). Values of δ18Op are sensitive to changes in terrestrial hydroclimate, including to the ratio of precipitation (P) to evapotranspiration (ET) and to precipitable water. In short, decreasing P/ET or higher precipitable water produces shallower δ18Op gradients inland, whereas increasing P/ET or lower precipitable water results in steeper δ18Op continental gradients. We compile nearly 15,000 samples of authigenic carbonate and tooth enamel across Eurasia—the largest continental landmass—that span the Cenozoic Era to reconstruct the past spatial distribution and zonal (i.e. east-to-west) gradients of δ18Op. We find that, in epochs with higher CO2, zonal δ18Op gradients increase, suggesting an increase in P/ET across Eurasia despite the expected increase in precipitable water in greenhouse climates. We compare these results to δ18Op gradients simulated by an isotope-enabled climate model (iCESM) forced with both pre-industrial (PI) and 4xPI CO2 mixing ratios. Simulated δ18Op gradients shallow as CO2 rises, in contrast to the reconstructed δ18Op gradients. This data-model mismatch suggests either that Earth system feedbacks not represented in our iCESM simulations, such as changes in Northern Hemisphere ice extent and vegetation, may have fundamentally changed Northern Hemisphere hydroclimate or that land-surface processes under high CO2 climates may be mis-represented in iCESM. In either case, the moisture flux into Central Asia during greenhouse epochs may have been lower and more highly distilled (i.e., lower δ18O) than predicted by theory.

Geological Society of America Abstracts with Programs. Vol. 56, No. 5

doi: 10.1130/abs/2024AM-402171

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