33 Time Scales of Denudation: From Catchment to Continent (Posters)
VARIABILITY IN EROSION RATES DUE TO DISCRETE SUPPLY PROCESSES IN THE EASTERN CENTRAL RANGE, TAIWAN
Program: THEME SESSIONS
Time: 4:30 PM – 4:30 PM
Authors
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Christopher W. FullerUniv of Washington, Seattle, WA
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Niels HoviusUniv of Cambridge, Cambridge, N/A
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Rudy SlingerlandPennsylvania State Univ, N/A
Abstract
We calculate erosion rates for the 12 rivers of the eastern Central Range (ECR) in Taiwan directly from suspended sediment data using mean sediment loads, traditional rating curves and a new corrected rating curve. Our resulting erosion rates vary between .7 to 21.3 mm/yr. In order to address the uncertainty in these erosion rates due to the short records, infrequency of observations and, in particular, the discrete nature of the sediment supply, we have developed a model of sediment supply and transport in a landslide dominated basin. The model consists of stochastic water discharge generation, stochastic landslide generation and a deterministic sediment transport algorithm. We calibrate the model to the Chih-Pen river of the ECR using the observed water and sediment time series as well as known landslide magnitude-frequency statistics within the ECR. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we are able to estimate the expected variation in erosion rates for a range of parameters. Our simulations show that a 27 year record for the Chih-Pen, with an observed erosion rate of 9.5 mm/yr, has an expected standard deviation of 6 mm/yr. Similar variances are expected for other rivers within the ECR.