5 Causes of Rapid Climate Changes in the Quaternary
Monday, 25 June 2001
10:00 AM - 12:40 PM
INTRODUCING THE NATURE AND CAUSES OF RAPID CLIMATE TRANSITIONS DURING THE QUATERNARY
Paper number: 5-1
Program: THEME SESSIONS
Time: 10:00 AM – 10:10 AM
Authors
Abstract
The continuing debates on causuation centre on external verses internal mechanisms. External mechanisms include tectonic changes, Milankovitch ?orbital? forcing and solar variations. While internal feedback mechanism include: atmospheric, surface ocean and deep-ocean circulation, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane and water vapour, sea level, snow and ice cover, dust and haze particles. In general most of these transitions appear to be threshold changes where by external forcing leads to a change in the state of global climate. I will also introduce the theory that these changes are non-reversible because of bifurcation in our climate system. Hence we suggest that the evidence indicates that long-term climate change occurs in sudden jumps rather than incremental changes; which does not bode well for the future.